Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.039237 0.045720 0.052851 0.061262 0.070899 0.081584 0.094315
2025-07-27 0.029027 0.037350 0.047352 0.060207 0.076234 0.095501 0.120354
2025-08-03 0.022509 0.031612 0.043433 0.059794 0.081719 0.109937 0.148830
2025-08-10 0.017473 0.026568 0.039233 0.057958 0.084699 0.121226 0.174541
2025-08-17 0.013959 0.022817 0.035956 0.056569 0.087716 0.132548 0.201335
2025-08-24 0.011667 0.020367 0.034029 0.056628 0.092531 0.146644 0.233379
2025-08-31 0.009587 0.017814 0.031452 0.055163 0.094630 0.156703 0.260268
2025-09-07 0.008620 0.016930 0.031373 0.057599 0.103054 0.177215 0.305272
2025-09-14 0.007452 0.015454 0.030025 0.057629 0.107378 0.191456 0.341486
2025-09-21 0.006284 0.013752 0.027986 0.056088 0.108695 0.200677 0.370069
2025-09-28 0.005432 0.012508 0.026588 0.055480 0.111506 0.212592 0.404226
2025-10-05 0.005106 0.012290 0.027127 0.058605 0.121519 0.238117 0.464678
2025-10-12 0.004690 0.011820 0.027126 0.060731 0.130010 0.261964 0.524865
2025-10-19 0.004023 0.010657 0.025502 0.059317 0.131365 0.272631 0.561632
2025-10-26 0.003518 0.009777 0.024350 0.058725 0.134291 0.286553 0.605873
2025-11-02 0.003000 0.008756 0.022715 0.056829 0.134223 0.294506 0.639101
2025-11-09 0.002589 0.007926 0.021385 0.055421 0.135000 0.304170 0.676546
2025-11-16 0.002314 0.007405 0.020718 0.055456 0.138952 0.320725 0.729504
2025-11-23 0.002003 0.006715 0.019511 0.054008 0.139321 0.329656 0.767192
2025-11-30 0.001899 0.006615 0.019824 0.056391 0.148939 0.359546 0.852323
2025-12-07 0.001709 0.006209 0.019251 0.056417 0.152882 0.377172 0.912109
2025-12-14 0.001487 0.005650 0.018156 0.054905 0.152848 0.385755 0.952460
2025-12-21 0.001323 0.005245 0.017437 0.054308 0.155040 0.399656 1.006007